Full lesson
Explore the full explanation, examples, and visuals at your own pace.
Part 1
The Fed just raised rates a quarter point, and your phone buzzes with the news. But the same hike lands differently on three people. A credit card holder sees the rate rise soon. A friend with a fixed mortgage sees no change. A saver barely notices. Why does one hike split three ways?
The Fed targets the overnight rate banks charge each other, not your loan rates.
The federal funds rate is what banks charge each other for overnight loans. The Fed sets a target range for it, not your credit card or mortgage rate.
Hypothetical: prime 7.50% to 7.75%
Follow the chain down. The Fed's target range moves from 4.25–4.50 percent to 4.50–4.75. Banks adjust, and prime, typically the upper bound plus three points, goes from 7.50 to 7.75 percent. Credit cards and many home equity lines then add their own margin on top of prime.
Card APR: prime + 12 points, 19.50% to 19.75%
Your card's rate is prime plus a 12-point margin. With prime at 7.75%, that makes 19.75%, up from 19.50%, usually within a billing cycle or two. On a $5,000 balance held a year, interest goes from about $975 to $987.50. That's roughly $12.50 more, ignoring compounding.
Chart values
| Card APR | Interest per year (USD) |
|---|---|
| Before (19.50%) | 975 |
| After (19.75%) | 987.5 |
Fixed vs variable rates
A variable rate resets whenever its index, like prime, moves. A fixed rate is set once and stays for the loan's life. So your friend's 6.50% mortgage doesn't budge. The payment stays exactly the same, whatever the Fed does.
- Variable: resets with an index like prime
- Fixed: rate locked for the loan's life
- Existing fixed loans ignore Fed moves
New 30-year fixed rates follow a different path
New mortgages follow a different path. Markets weigh the inflation outlook and the expected path of Fed hikes, and that shows up in the 10-year Treasury yield. That yield tends to guide new fixed mortgage rates, so they can move before the Fed acts. It affects new borrowers, not your friend.
Part 7
The same quarter-point hike lands four different ways. The card APR rises the full 0.25 points. The existing fixed mortgage doesn't move. Traditional savings stays at 0.40%. A high-yield account might climb from 4.00% to about 4.15%. Borrowing reprices faster than saving does.
Chart values
| Product | Change (percentage points) |
|---|---|
| Card APR | 0.25 |
| Existing fixed mortgage | 0 |
| Traditional savings | 0 |
| High-yield savings | 0.15 |
Banks must reprice linked loans; savings rates are their choice.
Card rates are contractually tied to prime, so banks must reprice them. Savings rates aren't, so banks move slowly, unless online high-yield accounts are competing for your deposits.
Keep in mind
A few caveats. We've walked through the US system, and other central banks work broadly the same way, but products, timing, and pass-through differ by country and lender. Check your own loan terms. This is general education, not personal financial advice.
- This describes the US system
- Other central banks work broadly similarly
- Timing and pass-through vary by lender
Ask: is my rate linked, fixed, or set by my bank?
The Fed moves short-term rates; your rate moves only if it's linked. The card holder's APR is tied to prime, so it rises soon. Your friend's fixed mortgage stays put. The saver's rate is set by the bank, so it barely moves. Same hike, three outcomes. Ask which kind of rate you have.